Now is the time for all fantasy experts to say, don’t panic. Don’t make deals. Don’t overreact. Be patient.

Here’s another piece of advice. Save your draft notes.

Later on this season when I start looking for free agents to replace draft-day duds I first scan the category leaders in the past month (who’s hot?). Then I look at the stats from the past week (are they still hot?). Then I double-check season and career numbers (how flukey is this hotness?).

But what I really need to know is whether or not the numbers project forward. And that’s where I’ve learned to go back to draft notes. The draft is all about projections. That’s the time your mind is focused on the whole season rather than the daily numbers. Maybe, back in March, you actually had a clue.

The easiest player to spot is the one you already drafted and released. In 2007 I drafted Troy Tulowitzki in the 22nd of 23 rounds. Great prospect. Potential breakout year. Tulowitzki started slow and I released him two weeks into the season. In mid-June I actually added him for one game, dropped him again, then added him for good on June 21.

In a deep league with no transaction limit you can do things like this — up until the point that some other owner grabs the guy you should have kept on your team. Just remember: you made those late round picks for a reason. Right?